The atlas, in full

Fable 5 · data curated through July 2026

Every company, event and person in the Five Layer AI Cake, as text. The interactive version is on the front page; this page exists so the dataset can be read, quoted and cited without running any code.

How a company is placed

A company sits on the layer where it captures value, not where it operates. NVIDIA runs enormous cloud and software businesses and still belongs to Silicon, because that is where the money is made. The rule is what makes this a map rather than a directory, and it is the one editorial decision everything else follows from. A company that captures value on two or more layers is a vertical integrator, and those are tracked separately because spanning layers is a different game from competing on one.

The five layers

LayerShortWhat it isCompanies
1 · SiliconGPUs, TPUs, ASICsRaw compute. Who makes the metal that every layer above depends on.18
2 · Cloud & ComputeHyperscalers, neocloudsWhere the chips live. Data centers, GPU clusters, and the contracts that route demand.23
3 · Foundation ModelsThe frontier labsThe model itself — architecture, weights, capabilities. The narrow funnel the whole stack aims at.39
4 · Tooling & OrchestrationSDKs, agents, frameworksThe connective tissue — how developers wire models into real software.24
5 · ApplicationsEnd-user productsThe surface users actually touch. Where attention, subscriptions, and enterprise contracts accumulate.46

All 103 companies, by layer

Influence is a subjective 1–10 score. Use it as an ordering, not a measurement.

Silicon — 18 companies

CompanyFoundedLayersInfluenceWhy it is here
NVIDIA1993Silicon10/10GPU monopoly on AI training. CUDA moat.
Google Cloud2008Cloud & Compute · Silicon · Foundation Models · Applications9/10TPUs + Gemini + Workspace. Only full-stack vertical.
TSMC1987Silicon9/10Fabs every leading-edge AI chip on Earth.
AMD1969Silicon7/10MI300X, ROCm — the credible challenger.
Broadcom1991Silicon7/10Networking silicon for every hyperscaler. Tomahawk switches, custom XPUs.
Arm1990Silicon6/10Architecture under every phone + edge device.
Groq2016Silicon · Cloud & Compute6/10LPU — record-setting inference latency.
Huawei (HiSilicon)1991Silicon · Cloud & Compute6/10Ascend 910C/D — China's domestic GPU answer to NVIDIA under export controls.
Qualcomm1985Silicon · Tooling & Orchestration6/10Bought Modular to fight CUDA with software. Silicon without a dev stack does not sell.
Tesla (Optimus, FSD)2003Applications · Silicon6/10Dojo chips + Optimus + FSD — an AI company hiding in a carmaker.
Arista Networks2004Silicon5/10Data-center Ethernet. The anti-InfiniBand bet for AI clusters.
Cerebras2016Silicon · Cloud & Compute5/10Wafer-scale engine. Training alt to NVIDIA.
Intel1968Silicon · Cloud & Compute5/10Gaudi chips, foundry ambitions; fell behind in AI.
SMIC2000Silicon5/10China's foundry champion, shipping 7nm without EUV.
Corning1851Silicon4/10Fiber optic cable for sea-cable and data-center builds. 170-year-old picks-and-shovels.
Lightmatter2017Silicon4/10Optical interconnect — photonic compute fabrics. Cluster-scale bet.
Tenstorrent2016Silicon4/10Jim Keller’s RISC-V AI chips. Open-source ISA bet.
SambaNova2017Silicon · Cloud & Compute3/10Reconfigurable dataflow architecture.

Cloud & Compute — 23 companies

CompanyFoundedLayersInfluenceWhy it is here
Microsoft Azure2008Cloud & Compute · Foundation Models · Applications10/10OpenAI infra. Copilot everywhere.
AWS2006Cloud & Compute9/10Cloud hyperscaler. Bedrock model gateway, Trainium/Inferentia chips. Anthropic partner.
Google Cloud2008Cloud & Compute · Silicon · Foundation Models · Applications9/10TPUs + Gemini + Workspace. Only full-stack vertical.
CoreWeave2017Cloud & Compute7/10Neocloud darling. Pivoted from crypto to AI.
Databricks2013Cloud & Compute · Tooling & Orchestration · Foundation Models7/10Acquired MosaicML ($1.3B). Enterprise AI plumbing.
Equinix1998Cloud & Compute7/10260+ IBX colos + 2,400+ interconnects. Where clouds peer with each other.
Vercel2015Tooling & Orchestration · Cloud & Compute7/10AI SDK, v0, AI Gateway. Frontend-first infra.
Constellation Energy2022Cloud & Compute6/10Restarting Three Mile Island for Microsoft. America's largest nuclear operator.
Digital Realty2004Cloud & Compute6/10300+ data centers globally. The largest AI-era landlord.
Groq2016Silicon · Cloud & Compute6/10LPU — record-setting inference latency.
Huawei (HiSilicon)1991Silicon · Cloud & Compute6/10Ascend 910C/D — China's domestic GPU answer to NVIDIA under export controls.
Cerebras2016Silicon · Cloud & Compute5/10Wafer-scale engine. Training alt to NVIDIA.
Intel1968Silicon · Cloud & Compute5/10Gaudi chips, foundry ambitions; fell behind in AI.
Oracle Cloud2016Cloud & Compute5/10Stargate partner. Back-door into AI infra.
Snowflake2012Cloud & Compute · Tooling & Orchestration5/10Cortex LLM functions. Enterprise data gravity.
Together AI2022Tooling & Orchestration · Cloud & Compute5/10Open-model inference cloud.
Vantage Data Centers2010Cloud & Compute5/10Hyperscale builds. DigitalBridge-backed. 1GW+ campuses.
Fireworks AI2022Tooling & Orchestration · Cloud & Compute4/10Low-latency inference for open models.
Kairos Power2016Cloud & Compute4/10Small modular reactors (SMRs). Google signed for 500MW. Deployment 2030.
Lambda Labs2012Cloud & Compute4/10GPU cloud for researchers and startups.
Replicate2019Tooling & Orchestration · Cloud & Compute4/10Run any model via HTTP.
X-energy2009Cloud & Compute4/10High-temp gas-cooled SMRs. Amazon backing + $500M Series C-1 2024.
SambaNova2017Silicon · Cloud & Compute3/10Reconfigurable dataflow architecture.

Foundation Models — 39 companies

CompanyFoundedLayersInfluenceWhy it is here
Microsoft Azure2008Cloud & Compute · Foundation Models · Applications10/10OpenAI infra. Copilot everywhere.
OpenAI2015Foundation Models · Applications · Tooling & Orchestration10/10ChatGPT, GPT-4, Sora, o-series. Defined the category.
Anthropic2021Foundation Models · Applications · Tooling & Orchestration9/10Claude, MCP, constitutional AI. Safety-first frontier lab.
Google Cloud2008Cloud & Compute · Silicon · Foundation Models · Applications9/10TPUs + Gemini + Workspace. Only full-stack vertical.
Google DeepMind2010Foundation Models9/10AlphaGo → Gemini. Research arm of Google AI.
Hugging Face2016Tooling & Orchestration · Foundation Models8/10The GitHub of ML. 1M+ models hosted.
Meta AI2013Foundation Models · Tooling & Orchestration8/10Llama, PyTorch — the open-weight anchor.
SpaceX·xAI2002Foundation Models · Applications8/10Public markets priced a model lab inside a rocket company. Owns Cursor now.
Alibaba Qwen2023Foundation Models7/10Qwen3 72B+. Aggressively open-weight, fastest-closing competitor to US labs.
Databricks2013Cloud & Compute · Tooling & Orchestration · Foundation Models7/10Acquired MosaicML ($1.3B). Enterprise AI plumbing.
Waymo2009Applications · Foundation Models7/10The first physical AI at scale. 10M+ rides/month by 2025.
AI4Bharat2019Foundation Models6/10IIT Madras research. IndicNLP, IndicBERT, IndicTrans. The academic spine of Indic AI.
Apple Intelligence2024Foundation Models · Applications6/10On-device Foundation Models + Vision Pro. Privacy-first, slow, consumer-scale.
ByteDance Doubao2023Foundation Models · Applications6/10Doubao 1.5 Pro. TikTok's parent quietly shipped a frontier Chinese model.
DeepSeek2023Foundation Models6/10Shocked the market Jan 2025 with R1. MoE efficiency.
Midjourney2021Applications · Foundation Models6/10Image gen leader; profitable without VC.
Perplexity (co.)2022Applications · Foundation Models6/10Builds own search index + fine-tunes. Vertical from day one.
Physical Intelligence (π)2024Foundation Models · Applications6/10π₀ — general-purpose robot foundation model. Levine + Hausman + ex-Google Brain.
Sarvam AI2023Foundation Models6/10Indic-first foundation models. Sarvam-1, Sarvam-2B. Lightspeed + Khosla-backed.
xAI2023Foundation Models · Applications6/10Grok. Colossus supercluster in Memphis.
Baidu ERNIE2019Foundation Models · Applications5/10ERNIE 4.5 + Bot. Anchor of China's home-field LLM ecosystem.
ElevenLabs2022Applications · Foundation Models5/10Voice cloning + TTS. Owns audio.
Krutrim2023Foundation Models · Applications5/10Ola's AI lab. Open-sourced IndicLLM 7B/12B. Bhavish Aggarwal-backed.
Mistral2023Foundation Models5/10European frontier lab. Open-weight pragmatism.
Moonshot (Kimi)2023Foundation Models · Applications5/10Kimi k1.5 — China's first reasoning-model breakout. Million-token context.
NVIDIA GR00T · Isaac2024Tooling & Orchestration · Foundation Models5/10Humanoid foundation model platform + Isaac simulation. Robotics dev platform.
Runway2018Applications · Foundation Models5/10Gen-2/Gen-3 video models. Hollywood’s AI vendor.
Safe Superintelligence2024Foundation Models5/10Sutskever’s post-OpenAI lab. Zero products, $30B valuation.
Wayve2017Applications · Foundation Models5/10End-to-end learned driving + GAIA world model. UK AV champion.
World Labs2024Foundation Models5/10Fei-Fei Li's spatial-intelligence lab. $230M seed 2024, the highest-profile launch.
Cohere2019Foundation Models4/10Enterprise-focused. RAG-first positioning.
Figure2022Applications · Foundation Models4/10Humanoid robots. Ex-OpenAI Helix model.
MiniMax2021Foundation Models · Applications4/10MiniMax-01 with MoE attention. Hailuo video gen.
Skild AI2023Foundation Models4/10General-purpose embodied foundation model. $300M raised 2024.
Suno2022Applications · Foundation Models4/10Music generation. Current RIAA defendant.
Thinking Machines2024Foundation Models4/10Mira Murati’s lab. Post-OpenAI brain drain continues.
Zhipu AI2019Foundation Models4/10GLM-4. Tsinghua spin-off; hit by US entity list 2025.
AI21 Labs2017Foundation Models3/10Jamba, early GPT-3 competitor.
Inflection2022Foundation Models · Applications3/10Pi assistant. Team acqui-hired by Microsoft (2024).

Tooling & Orchestration — 24 companies

CompanyFoundedLayersInfluenceWhy it is here
OpenAI2015Foundation Models · Applications · Tooling & Orchestration10/10ChatGPT, GPT-4, Sora, o-series. Defined the category.
Anthropic2021Foundation Models · Applications · Tooling & Orchestration9/10Claude, MCP, constitutional AI. Safety-first frontier lab.
Hugging Face2016Tooling & Orchestration · Foundation Models8/10The GitHub of ML. 1M+ models hosted.
Meta AI2013Foundation Models · Tooling & Orchestration8/10Llama, PyTorch — the open-weight anchor.
Claude Code2025Applications · Tooling & Orchestration7/10Agentic CLI. Killer app for coding agents.
Databricks2013Cloud & Compute · Tooling & Orchestration · Foundation Models7/10Acquired MosaicML ($1.3B). Enterprise AI plumbing.
Vercel2015Tooling & Orchestration · Cloud & Compute7/10AI SDK, v0, AI Gateway. Frontend-first infra.
LangChain2022Tooling & Orchestration6/10Agent/chain orchestration — loved and loathed.
Qualcomm1985Silicon · Tooling & Orchestration6/10Bought Modular to fight CUDA with software. Silicon without a dev stack does not sell.
Scale AI2016Tooling & Orchestration6/10Data labeling → RLHF vendor. $870M Meta investment (2025).
CrewAI2023Tooling & Orchestration5/10Multi-agent framework. Role-playing agent crews.
LangGraph2024Tooling & Orchestration5/10Stateful graph-based agent orchestration from LangChain.
LlamaIndex2023Tooling & Orchestration5/10RAG-first data framework.
NVIDIA GR00T · Isaac2024Tooling & Orchestration · Foundation Models5/10Humanoid foundation model platform + Isaac simulation. Robotics dev platform.
Pinecone2019Tooling & Orchestration5/10Managed vector DB pioneer.
Replit2016Applications · Tooling & Orchestration5/10Agent IDE in the browser. Solo-founder-friendly.
Snowflake2012Cloud & Compute · Tooling & Orchestration5/10Cortex LLM functions. Enterprise data gravity.
Together AI2022Tooling & Orchestration · Cloud & Compute5/10Open-model inference cloud.
AutoGen2023Tooling & Orchestration4/10Microsoft Research multi-agent conversation framework.
Fireworks AI2022Tooling & Orchestration · Cloud & Compute4/10Low-latency inference for open models.
Replicate2019Tooling & Orchestration · Cloud & Compute4/10Run any model via HTTP.
Paperclip2025Tooling & Orchestration · Applications3/10Open-source AI labor management — agents with org charts, budgets, tickets.
Weaviate2019Tooling & Orchestration3/10Open-source vector database.
XR Blocks (Google)2026Tooling & Orchestration3/10WebXR + Gemini framework for AR prototyping. Spatial-AI on-ramp.

Applications — 46 companies

CompanyFoundedLayersInfluenceWhy it is here
ChatGPT2022Applications10/10The big bang. 100M users in 2 months.
Microsoft Azure2008Cloud & Compute · Foundation Models · Applications10/10OpenAI infra. Copilot everywhere.
OpenAI2015Foundation Models · Applications · Tooling & Orchestration10/10ChatGPT, GPT-4, Sora, o-series. Defined the category.
Anthropic2021Foundation Models · Applications · Tooling & Orchestration9/10Claude, MCP, constitutional AI. Safety-first frontier lab.
Google Cloud2008Cloud & Compute · Silicon · Foundation Models · Applications9/10TPUs + Gemini + Workspace. Only full-stack vertical.
Claude (app)2023Applications8/10Most-trusted assistant in developer and enterprise circles.
Cursor2022Applications8/10AI-native IDE. Fastest SaaS to $100M ARR.
GitHub Copilot2021Applications8/10First mass-market AI dev tool.
SpaceX·xAI2002Foundation Models · Applications8/10Public markets priced a model lab inside a rocket company. Owns Cursor now.
Claude Code2025Applications · Tooling & Orchestration7/10Agentic CLI. Killer app for coding agents.
Waymo2009Applications · Foundation Models7/10The first physical AI at scale. 10M+ rides/month by 2025.
Apple Intelligence2024Foundation Models · Applications6/10On-device Foundation Models + Vision Pro. Privacy-first, slow, consumer-scale.
Boston Dynamics1992Applications6/10Atlas, Spot, Stretch. The OG humanoid lab, now owned by Hyundai.
ByteDance Doubao2023Foundation Models · Applications6/10Doubao 1.5 Pro. TikTok's parent quietly shipped a frontier Chinese model.
Midjourney2021Applications · Foundation Models6/10Image gen leader; profitable without VC.
Perplexity2022Applications6/10Answer engine. Search reimagined.
Perplexity (co.)2022Applications · Foundation Models6/10Builds own search index + fine-tunes. Vertical from day one.
Physical Intelligence (π)2024Foundation Models · Applications6/10π₀ — general-purpose robot foundation model. Levine + Hausman + ex-Google Brain.
Salesforce1999Applications6/10Agentforce plus a $3.6B Fin acquisition — enterprise agents by M&A.
Tesla (Optimus, FSD)2003Applications · Silicon6/10Dojo chips + Optimus + FSD — an AI company hiding in a carmaker.
Unitree Robotics2016Applications6/10H1 + G1 humanoid at $16K. Quadrupeds at $1,600. China's price disruption.
xAI2023Foundation Models · Applications6/10Grok. Colossus supercluster in Memphis.
1X Technologies2014Applications5/10Norwegian humanoid maker. NEO home robot. OpenAI-backed.
Apptronik2016Applications5/10Apollo humanoid shipping into Mercedes + GXO 2025. Texas-scale manufacturing bet.
Baidu ERNIE2019Foundation Models · Applications5/10ERNIE 4.5 + Bot. Anchor of China's home-field LLM ecosystem.
Bhashini2022Applications5/10Govt of India translation platform. National-scale public infra for 22 Indian languages.
Devin (Cognition)2023Applications5/10First "AI software engineer" framing.
ElevenLabs2022Applications · Foundation Models5/10Voice cloning + TTS. Owns audio.
Harvey2022Applications5/10Legal AI. Vertical-SaaS playbook for AI.
Krutrim2023Foundation Models · Applications5/10Ola's AI lab. Open-sourced IndicLLM 7B/12B. Bhavish Aggarwal-backed.
Moonshot (Kimi)2023Foundation Models · Applications5/10Kimi k1.5 — China's first reasoning-model breakout. Million-token context.
Replit2016Applications · Tooling & Orchestration5/10Agent IDE in the browser. Solo-founder-friendly.
Runway2018Applications · Foundation Models5/10Gen-2/Gen-3 video models. Hollywood’s AI vendor.
Wayve2017Applications · Foundation Models5/10End-to-end learned driving + GAIA world model. UK AV champion.
Yellow.ai2016Applications5/10Enterprise conversational AI. Customer-service bots at scale across 80+ countries.
Agility Robotics2015Applications4/10Digit — first humanoid deployed in GXO warehouses at paid production scale.
Character.AI2021Applications4/10Companion chatbots; acqui-hired by Google 2024.
Figure2022Applications · Foundation Models4/10Humanoid robots. Ex-OpenAI Helix model.
Fractal Analytics2000Applications4/10AI services + analytics. Predictive + generative across Fortune 500 enterprise.
Haptik2013Applications4/10Reliance Jio's chatbot platform. India's largest deployed conversational AI.
MiniMax2021Foundation Models · Applications4/10MiniMax-01 with MoE attention. Hailuo video gen.
Suno2022Applications · Foundation Models4/10Music generation. Current RIAA defendant.
Windsurf2021Applications4/10Cascade agent. Acquired by OpenAI (2025).
Inflection2022Foundation Models · Applications3/10Pi assistant. Team acqui-hired by Microsoft (2024).
Niramai2016Applications3/10AI thermal-imaging breast cancer screening. Healthcare AI from India.
Paperclip2025Tooling & Orchestration · Applications3/10Open-source AI labor management — agents with org charts, budgets, tickets.

All 155 events, by era

Magnitude 3 is rare — fewer than 25 events across seventy years carry it. Anyone reusing this dataset should hold to the same standard.

Symbolic AI (1956–2011) — 15 events

Logic, expert systems, handcrafted features. Winters and thaws.

YearEventLayerMagnitudeWhat happened
1956Dartmouth WorkshopFoundation Models3The term "artificial intelligence" is coined.
1958Perceptron (Rosenblatt)Foundation Models2First trainable neural network.
1966ELIZAApplications2Weizenbaum’s chatbot — first uncanny-valley moment.
1968Intel foundedSilicon2The company that will miss the AI wave it enabled. (Intel)
1986Backprop popularizedFoundation Models2Rumelhart, Hinton, Williams. Key algorithm returns.
1987TSMC foundedSilicon3The silent kingmaker of every AI chip era. (TSMC)
1993NVIDIA foundedSilicon3Gaming GPU company accidentally builds the AI stack. (NVIDIA)
1997Deep Blue beats KasparovApplications2Symbolic AI’s last hurrah.
1997LSTM (Hochreiter, Schmidhuber)Foundation Models1Sequence modeling foundation for 15 years.
2004DARPA Grand ChallengeApplications2No vehicle finishes. 2005 rematch — Stanley wins. Autonomous driving leaves the lab.
2006CUDA releasedSilicon3General-purpose GPU compute — the sleeper hit. (NVIDIA)
2006AWS EC2 launchesCloud & Compute3Cloud is born. Training becomes rentable. (AWS)
2008Azure + Google Cloud emergeCloud & Compute2Hyperscaler trio takes shape. (Microsoft Azure)
2009Google starts self-driving car projectApplications2The seed that becomes Waymo — 15 years of patient capital. (Waymo)
2010DeepMind foundedFoundation Models2Hassabis + Legg bet on AGI-scale RL. (Google DeepMind)

Deep Learning (2012–2016) — 11 events

AlexNet proves GPUs + data + depth wins. CNNs everywhere.

YearEventLayerMagnitudeWhat happened
2012AlexNet crushes ImageNetFoundation Models3GPU + CNN + data. The deep-learning era begins.
2013Meta AI (FAIR) foundedFoundation Models1LeCun joins Facebook. Open research ethos. (Meta AI)
2013Word2VecFoundation Models1Mikolov et al. — vector semantics. The prehistory of embeddings.
2013Boston Dynamics Atlas debutApplications1The first humanoid that made the internet watch. DARPA Robotics Challenge flagship. (Boston Dynamics)
2014GANs (Goodfellow)Foundation Models2Generative models take flight.
2014Amazon Alexa + voice assistantsApplications1Mass consumer AI — mostly disappointing.
2015OpenAI foundedFoundation Models3Non-profit mission to ensure AGI benefits all humanity. (OpenAI)
2016Google TPU v1Silicon2First mainstream AI ASIC. (Google Cloud)
2016AlphaGo beats Lee SedolApplications3"Move 37." Intuition in silicon. (Google DeepMind)
2016TensorFlow + PyTorchTooling & Orchestration2The framework wars. PyTorch will win research, TF industry (briefly).
2016Facebook + Microsoft Marea cable landsCloud & Compute1Transatlantic 160 Tbps. First time Big Tech co-owned sea infrastructure at scale. (Microsoft Azure)

Transformer (2017–2021) — 14 events

Attention + scale. Pretraining becomes the playbook.

YearEventLayerMagnitudeWhat happened
2017"Attention Is All You Need"Foundation Models3Transformer paper. Rewrote the field.
2018BERT + GPT-1Foundation Models2Pretrain-then-fine-tune becomes default. (OpenAI)
2018AlphaFold 1Foundation Models1Structural biology becomes tractable. Nobel bait. (Google DeepMind)
2019GPT-2 — "too dangerous to release"Foundation Models2Scaling laws hint. Partial release controversy. (OpenAI)
2019Microsoft invests $1B in OpenAICloud & Compute3The deal that reshaped the industry. (Microsoft Azure)
20192Africa consortium announcedCloud & Compute1Meta + China Mobile + Orange + Vodafone ring Africa with 45,000 km of fiber.
2020GPT-3 (175B)Foundation Models3Few-shot learning. The first time the world noticed. (OpenAI)
2020NVIDIA acquires Mellanox ($6.9B)Silicon2Networking = new moat. InfiniBand fabrics the AI era. (NVIDIA)
2020AlphaFold 2 cracks CASP14Foundation Models2"A solution to the protein folding problem." (Google DeepMind)
2020Scaling Laws for Neural LMsFoundation Models2Kaplan et al. — the paper that justified every subsequent billion. (OpenAI)
2021Anthropic foundedFoundation Models2Amodei siblings + ex-OpenAI team. Safety-first. (Anthropic)
2021GitHub Copilot launchesApplications3First killer AI app for a global profession. (GitHub Copilot)
2021DALL·E + MidjourneyApplications2Generative images break containment. (Midjourney)
2021Tesla AI Day — Optimus announcedApplications2Musk commits humanoid production. Widely mocked — turns out to be prescient. (Tesla (Optimus, FSD))

ChatGPT Era (2022–2024) — 49 events

Consumer breakout. Every enterprise suddenly has an AI budget.

YearEventLayerMagnitudeWhat happened
2022ChatGPT launches (Nov)Applications3The Big Bang. 1M users in 5 days, 100M in 2 months. (ChatGPT)
2022Stable Diffusion open-sourcedFoundation Models2Open-weight image gen explodes creativity (and lawsuits).
2022LangChain releasedTooling & Orchestration1Agent framework boom begins. (LangChain)
2022Cursor foundedApplications2AI-native IDE. Will reach $100M ARR in under 2 years. (Cursor)
2022JEPA (LeCun)Foundation Models1Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture. LeCun's quiet bet against pure transformers. (Meta AI)
2023GPT-4Foundation Models3Genuinely useful across domains. Multimodal. (OpenAI)
2023Claude 2 public releaseFoundation Models2100K context window — a new frontier. (Anthropic)
2023Llama + Llama 2 open-weightsFoundation Models3Meta torpedoes the closed-model moat. (Meta AI)
2023Gemini 1.0Foundation Models2Google finally ships. Multimodal from birth. (Google DeepMind)
2023Vercel AI SDKTooling & Orchestration1Streaming-first JS/TS framework for AI apps. (Vercel)
2023NVIDIA H100 rampsSilicon3$30K a chip. Everyone is allocation-starved. (NVIDIA)
2023xAI + Mistral foundedFoundation Models1Musk and ex-Meta French team enter the race. (xAI)
2023Databricks acquires MosaicML ($1.3B)Cloud & Compute2Enterprise data stacks get serious about training. (Databricks)
2023MSFT extends OpenAI deal to $10B+Cloud & Compute2The partnership that reshapes cloud economics for a decade. (Microsoft Azure)
2023Amazon invests $4B in AnthropicFoundation Models2Google follows with $2B. Frontier labs become cloud-anchored duopolies. (AWS)
2023AutoGen + CrewAI arriveTooling & Orchestration1Multi-agent frameworks proliferate. Agents start talking to each other. (CrewAI)
2023Mamba / State-space modelsFoundation Models1Gu + Dao — linear-time sequence models. The first credible transformer alternative.
2023Qwen + Baidu ERNIE launchFoundation Models1China's frontier-lab race accelerates. Qwen opens up aggressively. (Alibaba Qwen)
2023Figure raises + commits to humanoidApplications1Adcock raises $70M for a bet nobody else had conviction on. (Figure)
2024Claude 3 + GPT-4o + Gemini 1.5Foundation Models3Capability parity at the frontier. Long context becomes normal. (Anthropic)
2024NVIDIA Blackwell (B200)Silicon2The H100 successor. Trillion-param models in reach. (NVIDIA)
2024OpenAI o1 — reasoning chainsFoundation Models3Test-time compute = new scaling axis. (OpenAI)
2024Anthropic ships MCPTooling & Orchestration2Model Context Protocol — USB-C for LLMs. (Anthropic)
2024Devin framed as "AI engineer"Applications1Agent hype peaks. Reality catches up slowly. (Devin (Cognition))
2024Stargate announced ($100B+)Cloud & Compute2OpenAI + Oracle + SoftBank mega-cluster. (OpenAI)
2024Character.AI acqui-hired by GoogleApplications1First major frontier-era consolidation. (Character.AI)
2024Sora (video gen) demoedApplications2Minute-long coherent video. Hollywood notices. (OpenAI)
2024Meta Llama 3 (405B open)Foundation Models3Frontier-class weights released freely. Zuck doubles down. (Meta AI)
2024Inflection team → MicrosoftFoundation Models1Regulatory workaround for the modern era. (Inflection)
2024Ilya Sutskever launches SSIFoundation Models2Raises $1B at $5B pre-revenue. Superintelligence as a product. (Safe Superintelligence)
2024Claude computer use (beta)Applications2Models see screens, click, type. Agents become ambient. (Anthropic)
2024NVIDIA becomes $3T companySilicon3Briefly the world’s most valuable company. Picks-and-shovels wins again. (NVIDIA)
2024AlphaFold 3 + DeepMind NobelApplications2Hassabis + Jumper share chemistry Nobel. (Google DeepMind)
2024xAI raises $6B at $24BFoundation Models1Musk assembles 100K H100s in Memphis in months. (xAI)
2024Cursor hits $100M ARRApplications2Fastest SaaS in history — 12 months from zero. (Cursor)
2024Perplexity $500M at $3BApplications1Answer-engine category establishes itself. (Perplexity (co.))
2024LangGraph releasedTooling & Orchestration1Stateful graph agents — the infrastructure layer for long-running workflows. (LangGraph)
2024Genie 1 (world model)Applications2Foundation world model — generate interactive 2D environments from a single image. (Google DeepMind)
2024V-JEPA 1.5 (self-supervised video)Foundation Models1LeCun's roadmap to autonomous machine intelligence, one video frame at a time. (Meta AI)
2024"Situational Awareness" publishedFoundation Models2Leopold Aschenbrenner's essay reframes AGI as sovereign infrastructure. Shifts Capitol Hill.
2024Physical Intelligence ships π₀Foundation Models3First generalist robot foundation model. VLA policies cross form factors — the GPT-3 moment for embodiment. (Physical Intelligence (π))
2024Figure 02 + OpenAI partnershipApplications2OpenAI models running on Figure humanoids. Natural-language-controlled manipulation. (Figure)
2024Unitree G1 at $16KApplications2Price floor collapses. China redefines humanoid economics overnight. (Unitree Robotics)
2024NVIDIA Project GR00TTooling & Orchestration1Humanoid foundation-model platform + Isaac Sim. NVIDIA becomes the robotics dev cloud. (NVIDIA GR00T · Isaac)
2024Waymo passes 1M rides/moApplications2Physical AI crosses the real-scale threshold. SF + Phoenix + LA + Austin operational. (Waymo)
2024Microsoft + Constellation restart Three Mile IslandCloud & Compute3The cold-war nuclear industry restarts for AI. Nuclear is suddenly cool again. (Constellation Energy)
2024Amazon acquires Talen's Cumulus data centerCloud & Compute2Nuclear-adjacent 960MW campus. Regulatory pushback follows — grid access becomes the new allocation fight. (AWS)
2024Google signs for Kairos SMR 500MWCloud & Compute1First commercial SMR offtake in the AI era. Delivery 2030. (Kairos Power)
2024Meta nuclear RFPCloud & Compute1Public call for 1–4GW of nuclear. The hyperscalers quietly price in 2030's grid. (Meta AI)

Agentic (2025–2027) — 65 events

Models plan, use tools, and ship work autonomously.

YearEventLayerMagnitudeWhat happened
2025DeepSeek R1 shocks the market (Jan)Foundation Models3GPT-4-class reasoning, open weights, trained on a shoestring. NVIDIA drops 17% in a day. (DeepSeek)
2025Claude 3.7 + Opus 4Foundation Models2Agentic coding capabilities become table stakes. (Anthropic)
2025Claude Code + agentic CLIs explodeApplications3Terminal becomes the new IDE. Agents ship real PRs. (Claude Code)
2025Groq + Cerebras land enterpriseSilicon1Inference-cost war starts. NVIDIA still training king. (Groq)
2025Neocloud IPOsCloud & Compute2CoreWeave public. Neoclouds re-price data-center real estate. (CoreWeave)
2025Cursor passes $500M ARRApplications2Fastest SaaS in history. Windsurf acquired by OpenAI. (Cursor)
2025Mira Murati → Thinking MachinesFoundation Models1OpenAI brain drain accelerates. (Thinking Machines)
2025Windsurf acquired by OpenAIApplications1Frontier labs start buying distribution. (Windsurf)
2025Scale AI $870M Meta investmentTooling & Orchestration1Data-labeling becomes strategic infrastructure. (Scale AI)
2025Humanoid robots leave the labApplications2Figure, Tesla Optimus, 1X — embodiment era begins. (Figure)
2025Stargate formally announcedCloud & Compute2Up to $500B over 4 years. Sovereign-scale AI infra. (OpenAI)
2025Anthropic $3.5B at $61.5BFoundation Models2Valuation triples in 12 months. Enterprise Claude adoption compounds. (Anthropic)
2025OpenAI $40B round ($300B+ valuation)Foundation Models3Largest private funding round in history. SoftBank anchor. (OpenAI)
2025Figure raises $675M at $2.6BApplications1Humanoids are the new frontier bet. (Figure)
2025Paperclip — agent labor mgmtTooling & Orchestration1MIT-licensed org-chart + budgets + tickets for AI workers. The HR layer for agents. (Paperclip)
2025V-JEPA 2 + Genie 2Foundation Models1World-model architectures go multi-modal + controllable. Parallel track to LLM scaling. (Meta AI)
2025Moonshot Kimi k1.5 reasoning breakoutFoundation Models1First Chinese reasoning-tier model. Million-token context beats US offerings. (Moonshot (Kimi))
2025Huawei Ascend 910C ships at scaleSilicon2US export controls backfire — China builds a domestic GPU supply chain in 3 years. (Huawei (HiSilicon))
2025Apptronik + Mercedes productionApplications2Humanoids enter production floors as paid labor. Not a pilot — a contract. (Apptronik)
2025xAI Memphis Colossus — 150MW→1GW in 18 monthsCloud & Compute2Musk proves sovereign-scale clusters can be built faster than utilities thought possible. (xAI)
2025Broadcom Tomahawk 6 / Arista 7800 AI Spine shipSilicon1Ethernet-first AI fabric. NVIDIA Spectrum-X gets real competition. (Broadcom)
2026Claude Opus 4.7 (1M ctx)Foundation Models2Long-context reasoning becomes practical default. (Anthropic)
2026Blackwell Ultra + Rubin previewsSilicon2Annual cadence locked in. Memory bandwidth is the new moat. (NVIDIA)
2026MCP ecosystem 2,000+ serversTooling & Orchestration1De-facto standard for tool use across vendors. (Anthropic)
2026Agents do real work (ops, eng, sales)Applications2Multi-hour autonomous tasks land in production.
2026Genie 3 mainstream · video world modelsFoundation Models2Agents trained in generated environments. Sim-to-real pipeline becomes default. (Google DeepMind)
2026ByteDance Doubao 1.5 Pro hits parityFoundation Models1TikTok's parent closes the gap. Open-weight strategy erodes US closed moats. (ByteDance Doubao)
2026Google XR Blocks v0.12 releasedTooling & Orchestration1WebXR + Gemini. Samsung Galaxy XR ships — spatial computing finally ships with AI native. (XR Blocks (Google))
2026Figure 03 at Tesla-scale manufacturingApplications2Humanoids reach automotive-grade annual production volumes. (Figure)
2026Washington switches off a frontier modelFoundation Models3Commerce export-control order forces Fable 5 and Mythos 5 dark worldwide — the first government recall of a commercial frontier model. (Anthropic)
2026SpaceX swallows Cursor for $60BTooling & Orchestration2Largest startup acquisition ever, four days after SpaceX's own IPO. Every lab's biggest distribution channel now lives inside a rival. (Cursor)
2026Claude Fable 5 + Mythos tier shipsFoundation Models2A Mythos-class model on general sale — for exactly three days. (Anthropic)
2026GPT-5.6 launches to a government-approved listFoundation Models2Twenty partners vetted by Washington; OpenAI says gating 'shouldn't become the default.' GA July 9. (OpenAI)
2026Fable 5 returns; Sonnet 5 shipsFoundation Models2Order lifted after 18 days; Sonnet 5 lands near-Opus agentic performance at Sonnet prices. (Anthropic)
2026SpaceX IPOs at $1.77T on an AI storyFoundation Models2Largest IPO ever ($75B raised); ~90% of the pitch was the xAI subsidiary. (SpaceX·xAI)
2026Gemini 3.5 + Omni at I/O; Ultra cut to $200Foundation Models2Distribution beats margin — the price cut said the quiet part. (Google DeepMind)
2026Apple ships Siri AI — with Gemini insideApplications2Apple conceded the model layer to win back the assistant. (Apple Intelligence)
2026Vera Rubin enters full productionSilicon2Blackwell's successor in full production; RTX Spark pitches agents-at-home. (NVIDIA)
2026DeepSeek takes outside money at lastFoundation Models2$7.4B first external round; Tencent and CATL took lock-ups and zero votes — the state fund kept the voting rights. (DeepSeek)
2026Qualcomm buys Modular to fight CUDASilicon2$3.9B for Mojo + MAX — buying the hardware-agnostic layer because silicon without a dev stack does not sell. (Qualcomm)
2026Salesforce buys Fin for $3.6BApplications2Paid $3.6B to bolt Intercom's ticket-resolving agent onto Agentforce rather than compete with it. (Salesforce)
2026Grok 4.5, trained alongside CursorFoundation Models2First visible product of the Cursor deal, three weeks after closing. (xAI)
2026EU softens the AI Act, keeps the GPAI hammerFoundation Models1High-risk deadlines pushed 16 months; 3%-of-turnover GPAI fines still start August 2.
2026NVIDIA books an $81.6B quarterSilicon1Revenue up 85%, data center up 92% — the boom's most expensive routine earnings beat. (NVIDIA)
2026Just Ask Jev: Reinforcement Learning for Calibrated Decisions as a Zero-Shot Detector of AI Alignment FailuresFoundation Models2Detectors of alignment failures screen deployed language models and score alignment benchmarks without task-specific fine-tuning. (Meta AI)
2026ViRDM: Taming Representation Distribution Matching for Few-Step Causal Video GenerationFoundation Models2Few-step autoregressive video diffusion enables low-latency streaming generation using representation distribution matching.
2026AgentKernel: The Trust-Native Agentic Operating SystemTooling & Orchestration1Architects explicit trust boundaries for autonomous agent runtimes handling privileged actions and untrusted web inputs.
2026Agentic Detection of Online ConspiraciesTooling & Orchestration1Multi-agent framework analyzes latent rhetorical structures and coordinated messaging patterns across conversational graphs.
2026Your Transformer Can Hold Two Thoughts at Once: Evidence of Linear Superposition in LLMsSilicon1While Large Language Models (LLMs) rely on highly non-linear components, in this work we demonstrate that they exhibit fundamental linear...
2026ZooWork-ShopRanker: An Open, Preference-Aligned E-Commerce RerankerTooling & Orchestration1Open rerankers trained for general web retrieval transfer imperfectly to e-commerce, where ranking decisions depend not only on topical r...
2026SLCA-GRPO: Resolving Cross-Segment Credit Misattribution in Tool-Calling RLSilicon1Tool-calling agents produce heterogeneous outputs, interleaving structured tool invocations with user-facing natural language summaries. ...
2026IndicBankBench: Evaluating Safety and Reliability of Language Model Assistants in Indian Retail BankingTooling & Orchestration1Banking assistants must use account-specific information to answer requests and, in many cases, take actions through tools. Evaluating on...
2026TRACE: Temporal Audit and Condition-aware Evaluation of Streaming Video UnderstandingTooling & Orchestration1Streaming video understanding requires models to interpret evidence as it arrives, yet current evaluations often report task scores witho...
2026Softmax Reparameterization for Output-Head QuantizationSilicon1Large vocabularies make output heads a substantial inference cost in small language models. We propose softmax reparameterization, a post...
2026MOPD-Router: Rethinking Teacher Routing in Multi-Teacher On-Policy DistillationFoundation Models2Multi-teacher on-policy distillation (MOPD) integrates specialized capabilities into a single student, but existing practice typically ha...
2026Evidence-Grounded Auditing of Identification Assumptions in Climate-Policy Causal EvaluationsTooling & Orchestration1Difference-in-differences (DID) studies are widely used to evaluate climate policy, but assessing the evidence supporting their identific...
2026LightMIS: Ultra-Lightweight Medical Image Segmentation Without a Stage-Wise DecoderSilicon1We present LightMIS, a scalable family of ultra-lightweight convolutional networks for 2D binary medical image segmentation without a lea...
2026Not All Ranks Are Equal: Budget-Aware LoRA Merging Across TasksFoundation Models2Merging low-rank adapters (LoRAs) promises to eliminate the overhead of swapping task-specific weights at inference time. However, existi...
2026Disaggregated Quantization: Specializing LLM Prefill and DecodeFoundation Models2Prefill and decode reward different approaches to quantization: low-precision arithmetic accelerates prompt processing, while compact wei...
2026When Do Model Internals Help? Exploring the Role of Representation Engineering in LLM SafetySilicon1Reliable AI safeguards require both control mechanisms that reduce unsafe behavior and monitoring mechanisms that detect safety risks dur...
2026How Reproducible Are Evaluation Conclusions? A Self-Audit of LLM-Inferred Prompt StructureTooling & Orchestration1Evaluations of LLM systems routinely average over small prompt sets and report models as a ranked table. We ask how much confidence such ...
2026WideSWE: Can Coding Agents Coordinate Changes Across Repositories?Tooling & Orchestration1Coding-agent evaluation has progressed from resolving individual issues to carrying out long-horizon development, yet task completion is ...
2026Groupwise Agentic Grading and Advantage Redistribution for Code Agent RLTooling & Orchestration1Reinforcement learning (RL) for code agents often uses executable tests to provide binary rewards. With these rewards, Group Relative Pol...
2026Nereus: Adaptive Parallelism for LLM Post-TrainingSilicon1Reinforcement learning (RL) post-training for large language models (LLMs) coordinates multiple models across generation, inference, and ...
2026Recursive Harness Distillation across Agents for Robot ManipulationFoundation Models2A central goal in robotics is to enable manipulation across changing tasks and environments. Vision-language-action (VLA) models provide ...

33 people

People are first-class entities here, not attributes of a company, because in this industry they move and the companies follow.

NameRoleNowNote
Geoffrey HintonProf Emeritus · "Godfather of Deep Learning" · Nobel 2024U. TorontoBackprop, RBMs, Capsule Nets. Walked away from Google in 2023 to speak on AI risk.
Yann LeCunVP & Chief AI Scientist · Meta AI · NYUMetaCNNs, JEPA. Public champion of open weights + world-model architectures over pure LLM scaling.
Yoshua BengioProf · Founder · Turing AwardMila · Université de MontréalDeep learning pioneer; now focused on AI safety and the LawZero initiative.
Ilya SutskeverCo-founder · Safe SuperintelligenceSSIEx-OpenAI co-founder. Launched SSI 2024 with zero products, $30B valuation by 2025.
Sam AltmanCEOOpenAIArchitect of the $500B Stargate commitment. Defines the tempo of the frontier era.
Dario AmodeiCEO · Co-founderAnthropicEx-OpenAI research lead. Author of "Machines of Loving Grace." Constitutional AI, Claude.
Daniela AmodeiPresident · Co-founderAnthropicOperating counterweight to Dario. Runs the actual company.
Demis HassabisCEO · Co-founder · Nobel 2024Google DeepMindAlphaGo → AlphaFold → Gemini. Chemistry Nobel for protein structure prediction.
Jensen HuangCEO · Co-founderNVIDIABuilt the CUDA moat over 20 years. Briefly ran the world's most valuable company in 2024.
Mark ZuckerbergCEOMetaTorpedoing closed-model moats with Llama + spending $60B/yr on compute.
Elon MuskFounder · CEOxAI / TeslaColossus in Memphis: 100K+ H100s standing in months. Grok as a real frontier competitor.
Sundar PichaiCEOAlphabet / GoogleThe only CEO running a fully vertically-integrated AI stack (chip → cloud → model → app).
Satya NadellaCEOMicrosoftThe $13B OpenAI bet that reshaped the cloud era. Copilot everywhere.
Andrew NgFounder · Coursera co-founderDeepLearning.AI · Landing AITaught ML to the world. RealAvatar.ai is his first AI-avatar experiment in 2024.
Fei-Fei LiCo-founder · Stanford ProfWorld Labs · Stanford HAIImageNet. Now building spatial intelligence at World Labs ($230M Series A, 2024).
Andrej KarpathyFounderEureka LabsTesla → OpenAI → Eureka. "Zero to Hero," nanochat, autoresearch. The best teacher in AI.
Mira MuratiFounder · CEOThinking MachinesEx-OpenAI CTO. Raised $2B seed in 2025 — the largest seed round in history.
Mustafa SuleymanCEOMicrosoft AIDeepMind co-founder → Inflection → Microsoft AI. Runs Copilot.
Liang WenfengFounderDeepSeek / High-FlyerEx-quant. Shipped GPT-4-class reasoning for <$6M. Broke the frontier-price assumption.
Jim KellerCEOTenstorrentDesigned Apple A4, AMD Zen, Tesla FSD. Betting RISC-V + open silicon against NVIDIA.
Clem DelangueCEO · Co-founderHugging FaceTurned a chatbot company into the GitHub of ML. 1M+ models, every frontier release.
Aravind SrinivasCEO · Co-founderPerplexityRedefined search as an answer engine. $9B valuation by 2025.
Michael TruellCEO · Co-founderAnysphere (Cursor)Took MIT → fastest SaaS to $500M ARR in history. 24-year-old founder generation.
Chris OlahCo-founder · InterpretabilityAnthropicBuilt the field of mechanistic interpretability. The "how do these things work" school.
Leopold AschenbrennerFounderSituational Awareness LLC2024 essay reframed AGI as sovereign infrastructure. Shifted Capitol Hill + Wall Street priors.
Noam ShazeerCo-lead GeminiGoogle DeepMindTransformer co-author, MoE pioneer. Character.AI → reacquired by Google 2024.
Percy LiangProf · HELM leadStanford HAIRuns the most trusted independent benchmark. The referee the labs actually cite.
Jeff DeanChief ScientistGoogleTPUs, TensorFlow, AlphaFold infra. The backbone of Google's entire AI ops.
Ashish VaswaniFounderEssential AIFirst author of "Attention Is All You Need." Raised $56M for enterprise foundation models.
Brett AdcockFounder · CEOFigureSerial founder (Archer Aviation). Shipped Figure 02 partnership with OpenAI in 2024.
Sergey LevineCo-founder · Prof UC BerkeleyPhysical IntelligenceLed π₀ — first generalist robot foundation model. The "GPT-3 moment" for embodiment.
Bernt BørnichFounder · CEO1X TechnologiesNorwegian-led humanoid startup. OpenAI-backed. Home robot (NEO) target consumer-first.
Rodney BrooksProf Emeritus · FounderRobust.AI · MIT CSAILBehavior-based robotics pioneer. iRobot, Rethink Robotics. The field's conscience on hype.

12 places to learn

ProgrammeByKindNote
DeepLearning.AIAndrew NgcoursesThe canonical on-ramp. Short courses with every major lab.
NVIDIA Deep Learning InstituteNVIDIAhands-onGPU-accelerated workshops with certification. Most recognized credential in industry.
Hugging Face LearnHugging FacecoursesNLP, Deep RL, Audio, Diffusion. Always current because HF hosts the models.
OpenAI AcademyOpenAIfreeLaunched 2025. Free AI literacy + builder tracks. Aimed at non-engineers.
Anthropic CoursesAnthropichands-onPrompt engineering, tool use, real-world skills with Claude. Open in GitHub.
Google Machine LearningGooglecoursesCrash Course still the best zero-to-intermediate ML foundation on the internet.
Microsoft Learn · AI EngineerMicrosoftcertificationAzure + Copilot-focused learning path with AI-102 cert.
Meta AI ResearchMetaresearchPrimary sources for Llama, V-JEPA, Segment Anything, and DINO papers.
fast.aiJeremy HowardfreeTop-down practical deep learning. The antidote to math-first intros.
MIT 6.S191 · Intro to Deep LearningMITfreeRefreshed annually. Full video lectures + labs free online.
Stanford CS CoursesStanfordacademicCS229 (ML), CS224N (NLP), CS236 (GenAI). Still the gold standard.
Vercel AI DocumentationVercelbuilderProduction-grade AI app patterns in TS. Streaming, tool use, multi-model.

Reusing this

The dataset is CC BY 4.0. Cite it as: The Five Layer AI Cake — ConeApex (2026), https://coneapex.com · CC BY 4.0. The raw data is data.js; the six claims it was built to support are on the theses page.